Key Economic Events and Corporate Reports on Wednesday, February 25, 2026: Australian CPI, German GDP, Eurozone Inflation, EIA Oil Stocks, and Reports from Major Public Companies in the U.S., Europe, and Asia. Analysis for CIS Investors.
- Inflation and Rates: Australian CPI and Eurozone CPI are direct triggers for rate expectations and for assessing growth stocks.
- European Growth: German GDP helps to understand the resilience of the core Eurozone economy and the risk of a "soft landing."
- Oil and Inflation Expectations: U.S. oil inventories (EIA) often reflect in WTI/Brent prices and in inflation expectations.
- Corporate Reports: A high concentration of reports in the U.S. (including representatives of the S&P 500) can "overshadow" the macro backdrop.
Markets: Where Volatility is Likely
The day primarily concerns the reassessment of discount rates. If the CPI reinforces expectations of tighter policy, pressure often arises in the technology sector and in "growth stocks"; if the CPI is softer—risk assets and long-term bonds receive support. Oil adds a separate channel of influence through inflation expectations and the energy sector.
- FX: AUD after Australian CPI, EUR after the European block, USD—through oil and yields.
- Indices: focus on S&P 500 and Nasdaq due to heavy reporting in the evening; in Europe—Euro Stoxx 50; in Asia—Nikkei 225 reacts through global risk appetite.
- Russia: The ruble, OFZs, and stocks on MOEX are sensitive to weekly inflation and expectations regarding the key rate.
Economic Calendar: Events and Times in Moscow
| Time (MSK) | Country/Region | Event | Key Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03:30 | Australia | CPI (January) | AUD, bonds, Asian indices |
| 10:00 | Germany | GDP (Detailed data for Q4) | EUR, rates, European stocks |
| 13:00 | Eurozone | CPI / HICP (January, details) | EUR, yield curve, banks/insurance |
| 18:30 | USA | EIA Oil Stocks | Oil, energy, inflation expectations |
| 19:00 | Russia | Weekly CPI | RUB, OFZs, rate expectations |
Australia: CPI and RBA Policy Expectations
The publication of Australian CPI during the early Asian session often sets the tone for AUD and rate expectations. The dynamics of "core" inflation and the breadth of price increases are crucial for global portfolios: the wider the pressure, the harder it is for the market to factor in a soft rate trajectory, and the greater the sensitivity of growth stocks to yields.
Europe: German GDP and Eurozone Inflation
In Europe, investors are looking at the balance of "growth vs inflation." Detailed data on German GDP helps evaluate the dynamics of demand and the resilience of the industrial sector, while Eurozone CPI solidifies (or alters) expectations regarding rates and ECB rhetoric. As a result, the most sensitive are: EUR, yields and credit spreads, banks and insurance, as well as export-oriented companies in the Euro Stoxx 50.
USA: Oil, EIA, and Market Impact
EIA data quickly reflects in WTI/Brent prices and can influence inflation expectations, especially when the market concurrently evaluates the trajectory of rates. In such a "global environment," this serves as an essential bridge between the macro block (CPI) and corporate reporting: rising oil enhances the inflation channel, while a drop reduces pressure on yields.
Key points to watch in the EIA report details:
- Crude oil and inventories at Cushing (signal for the physical market);
- Changes in refinery processing and utilization rates (demand from the real sector);
- Gasoline and distillates as proxies for household demand and logistics.
Corporate Reports: Who Reports on This Day
Below are major public companies reporting on February 25, 2026 (or holding results/conference calls on this day). For convenience, tickers and session times (pre-market / post-market) are indicated. In the U.S., this is particularly important since volatility often comes after the market closes and influences the next day in Asia and Europe.
If you're constructing a portfolio based on indices (S&P 500, Euro Stoxx 50, Nikkei 225, or MOEX), the logic is simple: technology reports set the risk mode, retail confirms consumer health, while banks and utilities provide signals regarding cost of capital and dividends.
U.S. and Americas: Pre-Market U.S.
- Lowe’s (LOW), The TJX Companies (TJX), Circle (CRCL), Hut 8 (HUT), Photronics (PLAB), ODDITY Tech (ODD), Valens Semiconductor (VLN), Blackstone Secured Lending Fund (BXSL), Trinity Capital (TRIN), Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS).
U.S. and Americas: Post-Market U.S.
- NVIDIA (NVDA), Salesforce (CRM), Snowflake (SNOW), Synopsys (SNPS), The Trade Desk (TTD), Agilent (A), Pure Storage (PSTG), Nutanix (NTNX), Nu Holdings (NU), IonQ (IONQ), Array Technologies (ARRY), Paramount Skydance (PSKY).
Europe and the UK
- HSBC (HSBA), Diageo (DGE), Iberdrola (IBE), Novonesis (NVO), Eiffage (FGR), Fnac Darty (FNAC), Aston Martin Lagonda (AML).
Asia
- Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation (O39 / OVCHY), Delta Electronics (2308.TW).
Russia
- VTB (VTBR): annual reporting according to IFRS (as per issuer's calendar).
Investor Focus at the End of the Day
- Check the "bottlenecks" in timing: macro releases in Europe and EIA come out before the wave of U.S. reports; better to plan risk positions in advance.
- Split risk into two windows: (a) CPI and rates during the day, (b) reporting from major tech companies at night in MSK.
- Look at guidance: forecasts and management comments are often more important than the fact of quarterly profit.
- Monitor oil: an unexpected surprise from EIA can amplify movements in inflation expectations and indices.
- For portfolios in rubles: weekly CPI and VTB reporting are key local catalysts for MOEX.
- Don’t forget about liquidity: post-market reports often see wider spreads and "gaps" at the opening the next day.
February 25, 2026, is a busy day for global markets where the economic calendar of CPI and GDP meets dense corporate reporting. The most likely "points" for increased volatility are during the middle of the European session and after the U.S. closes.
