Analytical Review of Major Token Unlocks for the Week of December 8-14, 2025: Impact on Token Prices, Investor Risks, and Key Project Metrics.
During the second week of December 2025, the cryptocurrency market is poised to experience a series of significant events, with the unlocking of tokens from seven projects amounting to approximately $640 million. For crypto investors, this signifies a sharp increase in the supply of various assets, which could affect their prices and the overall dynamics of the cryptocurrency market. Below is an overview of the top 7 upcoming unlocks for the week (December 8-14, 2025), along with key data and an analysis of the potential impact of these events on the market and investors.
STABLE (Stable)
- Unlock Date: December 8, 2025
- Unlock Volume: 18 billion tokens (18% of total supply)
- Estimated Value: ~$566.38 million
- Total Project Capitalization: $3.14 billion
STABLE tops the list as the largest unlock of the week. Almost one-fifth of all tokens from the project will be released in a single day, a precedent-setting volume equivalent to ~$566 million. Such a one-time issuance poses serious risks for short-term investments: if a significant portion of these tokens hits the market, the price of STABLE will likely come under considerable pressure. Investors are closely monitoring how key holders (such as early backers or the project team) choose to handle this new release. A mass sell-off could sharply drop the price, whereas retaining a significant portion of tokens in long-term wallets or gradually introducing them into circulation may ease the impact. This scale of unlocking will test STABLE's liquidity—the market will assess whether demand can absorb such a substantial increase in supply.
PUMP (pump.fun)
- Unlock Date: December 14, 2025
- Unlock Volume: 10 billion tokens (1% of total supply)
- Estimated Value: ~$29.61 million
- Total Project Capitalization: $2.99 billion
PUMP is the token of the Pump.fun platform (a Solana launchpad for meme tokens). On December 14, 10 billion PUMP tokens (1% of supply) with an approximate value of $30 million will be unlocked. The project bears a high total capitalization (~$3 billion), and releasing just 1% of tokens suggests that the market may absorb this volume without extreme price fluctuations. However, investors remain cautious of volatility: even an additional 1% supply can create short-term pressure on PUMP's price, especially in unstable market conditions. If the unlocked coins are intended for early investors or the team, their potential sale will be a test of demand. Successfully holding the price would demonstrate sustained interest in PUMP, while a surge in sales could lead to a significant drop in value.
APT (Aptos)
- Unlock Date: December 12, 2025
- Unlock Volume: 11.31 million tokens (0.95% of total supply)
- Estimated Value: ~$19.88 million
- Total Project Capitalization: $2.07 billion
Aptos (APT) is a layer-one blockchain backed by major investors. On December 12, a scheduled monthly unlock of 11.31 million APT (about 0.95% of supply) worth around $20 million will take place. Regular unlocks are integrated into Aptos’s tokenomics – releases are distributed among investors, the team, and the community fund, so the market partially prepares for such events in advance. Nevertheless, increasing the circulating supply by $20 million could temporarily heighten volatility and exert pressure on APT's price if buying demand does not increase proportionately. Much depends on market sentiment and the actions of the recipients of the new tokens. Strong fundamental developments within the Aptos ecosystem (increased DeFi activity, stablecoin integrations, and partnership projects) maintain core demand and may partially offset the effect of increased supply, keeping investor interest in the token alive.
LINEA (Linea)
- Unlock Date: December 10, 2025
- Unlock Volume: 1.02 billion tokens (1.42% of total supply)
- Estimated Value: ~$8.16 million
- Total Project Capitalization: $570 million
Linea is a new layer-2 solution from ConsenSys, aimed at enhancing Ethereum's scalability. On December 10, 1.02 billion LINEA tokens (≈1.42% of supply) valued at ~$8.16 million will be released into circulation. Considering the project's size ($570 million in capitalization), this increase in supply is substantial. The unlocking is focused on ecosystem development—many of the new tokens will be allocated for community rewards and strategic partners, thus not all of the volume will flood the market immediately. However, a sudden increase in available supply creates short-term pressure on LINEA's prices. With low liquidity, an additional ~$8 million could significantly impact the price.
MOVE (Movement)
- Unlock Date: December 9, 2025
- Unlock Volume: 161.84 million tokens (1.62% of total supply)
- Estimated Value: ~$7.15 million
- Total Project Capitalization: $441 million
Movement (MOVE) is a blockchain project with a medium capitalization (~$441 million). On December 9, an issuance of 161.84 million MOVE tokens (1.62% of supply) worth ~$7.15 million is scheduled. For a project with less than half a billion dollars in capitalization, this is a notable event. Even a relatively modest additional supply can enhance MOVE's volatility: in a constrained liquidity environment, ~$7 million in new sales could substantially lower the token's price. If the primary recipients of these tokens are early investors or insiders, there is a risk of intensified sales in the open market. Conversely, directing part of the release toward strategic objectives for the project or leaving tokens in staking might alleviate immediate price pressure. The outcome of this unlock will demonstrate how quickly the market can absorb the new issuance without losing trust in the project.
MOCA (Mocaverse)
- Unlock Date: December 11, 2025
- Unlock Volume: 202.29 million tokens (2.28% of total supply)
- Estimated Value: ~$4.43 million
- Total Project Capitalization: $194 million
Mocaverse (MOCA) is the token for the Animoca Brands metaverse and NFT ecosystem. On December 11, 202.29 million MOCA tokens (2.28% of supply) worth approximately $4.43 million will be unlocked. For a project with less than $200 million in market capitalization, this surge in supply is quite significant. This event is likely related to the conclusion of prolonged lock-up periods: a substantial portion of tokens held by early Animoca investors was locked until the end of 2025 and is now entering the market. Low liquidity in MOCA means that even a few million dollars worth of new tokens can enhance price volatility. If the unlocking proceeds without mass sell-offs and the price remains stable, it will strengthen trust in the project. Otherwise, a sharp decline in the MOCA price will signal investor caution regarding metaverse tokens.
BB (BounceBit)
- Unlock Date: December 13, 2025
- Unlock Volume: 44.70 million tokens (2.13% of total supply)
- Estimated Value: ~$4.04 million
- Total Project Capitalization: $191 million
BounceBit (BB) is another relatively small project with a capitalization of around $191 million. On December 13, 44.70 million BB tokens (2.13% of supply)—approximately $4.04 million at the current rate—will be unlocked. An unlocking of ~2% of the supply significantly increases the number of coins in circulation, and considering limited trading volumes, an additional $4 million may disrupt the balance of supply and demand, leading to a decline in the token's price. Small altcoins often face sharp price movements with an increase in supply: investors may attempt to exit the asset early due to fears of a drop. The outcome will largely depend on the behavior of major BB holders. If a significant portion of the new tokens does not flood onto exchanges immediately (for example, if they remain for ecosystem development), the negative impact will be limited. However, with active sales, the BB price is likely to decline, reflecting increased risks in a low-liquidity market.
Impact of Unlocks on the Cryptocurrency Market
The combined volume of tokens exiting lock-up for the week of December 8-14, 2025, reaches an impressive ~$640 million. The simultaneous emergence of such a quantity of new coins raises liquidity concerns for the market: whether buyers can quickly absorb the additional supply without significant price imbalances. Particularly large "cliff" unlock events tend to generate spikes in volatility. Investors and traders often try to anticipate each other's actions: knowing about the upcoming increase in supply, some may sell assets in anticipation of price declines, thus intensifying pressure on prices even before the event occurs.
Therefore, the upcoming series of unlocks presents several risks and opportunities for the cryptocurrency market and its participants:
- Price Pressure: An increase in circulating supply can amplify pressure on token prices, especially if demand in the market does not grow—individual tokens could experience price declines while the market "digests" the influx of new coins.
- Increased Volatility: The simultaneous unlocking of several projects heightens short-term volatility. Speculative activity intensifies—traders attempt to capitalize on news regarding unlocks, leading to sharp price fluctuations.
- Investment Opportunities: Temporary price declines due to unlocks may present attractive entry points for long-term investors. Those who believe in the fundamental prospects of the projects may see such pullbacks as an opportunity to increase positions at lower prices.
Ultimately, the token unlocks this week will serve as an important test of the balance between supply and demand in the altcoin market. If the additional coins are absorbed without a significant price decline, this will bolster investor confidence and signal the market's maturity. Conversely, a new wave of sales will indicate that caution remains and that the cryptocurrency market continues to be sensitive to rapid changes in supply.
